To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (25 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 72
Defender wins (German): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 985 | 43% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 939 | 1012 | 40% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 976 | 1114 | 31% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 985 | 958 | 54% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1176 | 1106 | 60% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1108 | 943 | 72% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1192 | 37% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
| 959 | 1078 | 34% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1225 | 1283 | 42% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1044 | 1023 | 53% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1154 | 37% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1184 | 911 | 83% | 1994-03-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 953 | 54% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1024.5 vs 1049.8 has a 46.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).