To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (25 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 72
Defender wins (German): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1193 | 49% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 951 | 48% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 974 | 1134 | 28% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 951 | 958 | 49% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
| 928 | 1074 | 30% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 928 | 70% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1198 | 1106 | 63% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1107 | 943 | 72% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1202 | 39% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 965 | 1011 | 43% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 866 | 1015 | 30% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
| 957 | 1156 | 24% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1226 | 1263 | 45% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1153 | 37% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1102 | 911 | 75% | 1994-03-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1054.9 has a 45.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).