ASL Scenario Archive

The Citadel

Games with no balance used/recorded: 238 (40 on the archive and 198 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German): 101

Defender wins (Russian): 137

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1134	1125	51%	2024-01-14	Won
965	907	58%	2022-02-13	Lost
907	965	42%	2022-01-26	Won
1073	1094	47%	2021-08-01	Won
1071	1011	59%	2020-08-28	Lost
881	1071	25%	2019-01-10	Lost
885	975	37%	2018-11-02	Lost
1001	1020	47%	2018-07-13	Lost
1001	1020	47%	2018-07-13	Lost
1055	1029	54%	2018-05-30	Won
907	1009	36%	2018-02-19	Lost
1025	1009	52%	2017-10-20	Lost
1022	1193	27%	2017-10-09	Lost
1114	955	71%	2017-09-23	Won
947	1044	36%	2017-07-08	Lost
958	947	52%	2017-06-30	Won
1135	897	80%	2016-10-21	Won
961	1193	21%	2016-06-25	Lost
1193	947	80%	2014-09-01	Lost
951	1114	28%	2014-07-20	Lost
1071	975	63%	2014-06-06	Won
944	1094	30%	2013-04-29	Won
951	919	55%	2012-11-19	Won
1067	1053	52%	2012-10-04	Won
1071	955	66%	2012-09-01	Won
1148	994	71%	2012-07-16	Lost
937	853	62%	2012-01-30	Lost
947	1060	34%	2008-12-27	Won
1285	1400	34%	2008-02-10	Lost
919	1000	39%	2007-12-01	Lost
947	958	48%	2007-02-17	Won
832	832	50%	2006-06-22	Won
1071	946	67%	2005-01-12	Won
1066	986	61%	2004-10-10	Won
1138	1148	49%	2004-08-21	Won
1083	1100	48%	2002-03-29	Lost
945	1063	34%	1998-01-25	Won
1055	881	73%	1994-04-30	Lost
1044	983	59%	1992-05-05	Lost
1138	1000	69%		Lost

Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1021.1 vs 1018.1 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).