Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
881 | 962 | 39% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
1108 | 947 | 72% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
1020 | 951 | 60% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
1016 | 1023 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
1151 | 1114 | 55% | 2016-05-12 | Won |
1114 | 1151 | 45% | 2016-04-27 | Lost |
1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
956 | 1257 | 15% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
1198 | 1257 | 42% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
1172 | 1198 | 46% | 2013-11-07 | Lost |
1154 | 1198 | 44% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
1035 | 992 | 56% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
900 | 1070 | 27% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
1063 | 1067 | 49% | 2012-12-18 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
1016 | 1065 | 43% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
920 | 1016 | 37% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
1099 | 973 | 67% | 2007-03-02 | Won |
976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-07-05 | Lost |
1186 | 1041 | 70% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
1123 | 1113 | 51% | 1999-01-20 | Lost |
866 | 1028 | 28% | 1998-06-06 | Lost |
1193 | 911 | 84% | 1993-04-26 | Won |
881 | 1193 | 14% | 1993-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1070.8 has a 46.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).