Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 214 (33 on the archive and 181 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 123
Defender wins (Russian): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1042 | 62% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1195 | 984 | 77% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 964 | 63% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 1070 | 52% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1225 | 1030 | 75% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2015-06-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2015-04-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1151 | 21% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 1007 | 1028 | 47% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 1129 | 1143 | 48% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 948 | 956 | 49% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 959 | 1141 | 26% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1031 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1028 | 47% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 955 | 1007 | 43% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 957 | 1007 | 43% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1101 | 988 | 66% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1150 | 1156 | 49% | 2004-08-05 | Won |
| 1101 | 613 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1017 | 67% | 2003-11-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 929 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 873 | 75% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 984 | 53% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1113 | 52% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1032.2 has a 54.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).