Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (28 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 119
Defender wins (Russian): 89
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1053 | 924 | 68% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1015 | 1081 | 41% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1001 | 50% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1180 | 1044 | 69% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 949 | 1180 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 948 | 60% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 919 | 939 | 47% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 949 | 1053 | 35% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 932 | 989 | 42% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1110 | 47% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 935 | 1053 | 34% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 842 | 1135 | 16% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 1001 | 935 | 59% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 949 | 935 | 52% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 858 | 80% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1056 | 53% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1162 | 872 | 84% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 905 | 884 | 53% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1125 | 23% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1010.2 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).