Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 212 (32 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 122
Defender wins (Russian): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1072 | 58% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1150 | 959 | 75% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1079 | 1138 | 42% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1256 | 1028 | 79% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1023 | 1256 | 21% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1036 | 59% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2015-06-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2015-04-05 | Won |
| 1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1027 | 49% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1123 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1030 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1027 | 49% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1023 | 59% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 959 | 1023 | 41% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1101 | 988 | 66% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 613 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1018 | 67% | 2003-11-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 929 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 872 | 73% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1170 | 19% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1035.1 has a 53.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).