Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 212 (32 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 96
Defender wins (Russian): 116
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1102 | 51% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1130 | 916 | 77% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 951 | 65% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1203 | 1181 | 53% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1256 | 1008 | 81% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1013 | 1256 | 20% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2015-06-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2015-04-05 | Won |
| 1002 | 1068 | 41% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
| 918 | 1099 | 26% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 1013 | 1027 | 48% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 1065 | 1144 | 39% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1123 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1031 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1027 | 48% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1013 | 49% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 960 | 1013 | 42% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1100 | 988 | 66% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1100 | 614 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2003-11-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 929 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 872 | 71% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 986 | 985 | 50% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1139 | 22% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1032.9 has a 53.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).