Point of the Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 31
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 987 | 44% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 970 | 995 | 46% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1035 | 53% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1092 | 890 | 76% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 928 | 1016 | 38% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 906 | 61% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1100 | 39% | 2022-03-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1010 | 873 | 69% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 864 | 934 | 40% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2020-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1094 | 44% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1084 | 1039 | 56% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1125 | 1060 | 59% | 2019-08-03 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1199 | 48% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1334 | 973 | 89% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 922 | 1017 | 37% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2016-01-30 | Won |
| 986 | 1122 | 31% | 2016-01-20 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1066 | 41% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1038 | 51% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 1199 | 1046 | 71% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 748 | 82% | 2014-06-15 | Won |
| 970 | 847 | 67% | 2014-04-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 995 | 56% | 2013-12-31 | Won |
| 1054 | 1199 | 30% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1137 | 29% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 748 | 973 | 21% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1431 | 7% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-09-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 748 | 86% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 866 | 70% | 2009-07-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 988 | 69% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 930 | 73% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-27 | Won |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-04-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2006-11-04 | Won |
| 1241 | 1130 | 65% | 1996-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1032 vs 1012.2 has a 52.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).