Point of the Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (43 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 49
Defender wins (German): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 1035 | 45% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
987 | 937 | 57% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
958 | 1013 | 42% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
992 | 998 | 49% | 2022-03-16 | Won |
1061 | 873 | 75% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
1017 | 1031 | 48% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2020-08-20 | Lost |
1036 | 1052 | 48% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1028 | 1115 | 38% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
1030 | 1039 | 49% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
1108 | 1091 | 52% | 2019-08-03 | Lost |
1186 | 1109 | 61% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
1340 | 1027 | 86% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
1144 | 971 | 73% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
949 | 987 | 45% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
856 | 1198 | 12% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2016-01-30 | Won |
986 | 991 | 49% | 2016-01-20 | Lost |
1004 | 1068 | 41% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
1016 | 1036 | 47% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
1109 | 1078 | 54% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
1010 | 971 | 56% | 2014-06-15 | Won |
970 | 847 | 67% | 2014-04-28 | Won |
1036 | 995 | 56% | 2013-12-31 | Won |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
984 | 1137 | 29% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
971 | 973 | 50% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
969 | 1429 | 7% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
989 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-09-18 | Lost |
1008 | 971 | 55% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2009-07-12 | Won |
1108 | 1059 | 57% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
1149 | 879 | 83% | 2008-09-27 | Won |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2007-04-05 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2006-11-04 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1027.9 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).