Point of the Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48
Attacker wins (British / Canadian): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1018 | 36% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 937 | 960 | 47% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 866 | 74% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 931 | 1007 | 39% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 907 | 61% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1110 | 37% | 2022-03-16 | Won |
| 1062 | 873 | 75% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 837 | 960 | 33% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 953 | 1114 | 28% | 2020-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1045 | 1094 | 43% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1065 | 1039 | 54% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 1031 | 1082 | 43% | 2019-08-03 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1114 | 59% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1044 | 84% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 926 | 947 | 47% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2016-01-30 | Won |
| 986 | 1017 | 46% | 2016-01-20 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1067 | 41% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-12-18 | Won |
| 1114 | 1049 | 59% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 1071 | 41% | 2014-06-15 | Won |
| 970 | 847 | 67% | 2014-04-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 995 | 56% | 2013-12-31 | Won |
| 1054 | 1114 | 41% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1137 | 29% | 2013-10-12 | Lost |
| 1071 | 975 | 63% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
| 969 | 1431 | 7% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 989 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-09-18 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1071 | 43% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 867 | 70% | 2009-07-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1055 | 47% | 2008-10-08 | Lost |
| 1110 | 924 | 74% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-04-05 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2006-11-04 | Won |
| 1055 | 1131 | 39% | 1996-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1030.1 vs 1034.3 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).