Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (38 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 50
Defender wins (German ): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1013 | 59% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 1118 | 944 | 73% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1007 | 898 | 65% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 898 | 1007 | 35% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 971 | 52% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 971 | 62% | 2024-12-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 971 | 62% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 958 | 944 | 52% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 944 | 994 | 43% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1135 | 967 | 72% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 953 | 1106 | 29% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1278 | 997 | 83% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 990 | 53% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1206 | 731 | 94% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 731 | 90% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 956 | 731 | 79% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1128 | 36% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1239 | 1419 | 26% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 987 | 944 | 56% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 927 | 1011 | 38% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1112 | 944 | 72% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 976 | 76% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1148 | 37% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1340 | 22% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 739 | 1151 | 9% | 2004-10-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1012.2 has a 52.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).