Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (28 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 44
Defender wins (German ): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 930 | 994 | 41% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 955 | 1090 | 31% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1023 | 48% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1259 | 933 | 87% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1049 | 44% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1190 | 937 | 81% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 972 | 937 | 55% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1179 | 29% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1237 | 1400 | 28% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 930 | 62% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 931 | 1009 | 39% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 930 | 72% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 971 | 69% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1054 | 1128 | 40% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 848 | 880 | 45% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 928 | 1030 | 36% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1072 | 43% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1040 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).