Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (40 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 52
Defender wins (German ): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2025-10-11 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1012 | 59% | 2025-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 950 | 69% | 2025-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-01-03 | | Lost |
| 837 | 1011 | 27% | 2025-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 947 | 58% | 2024-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 947 | 58% | 2024-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 947 | 58% | 2024-12-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2022-02-28 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | | Lost |
| 950 | 994 | 44% | 2021-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 933 | 76% | 2021-09-25 | | Won |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2021-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1037 | 45% | 2021-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1156 | 59% | 2020-12-29 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-10-20 | | Won |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2020-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-01-12 | | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-11-10 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1196 | 28% | 2017-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2016-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 950 | 57% | 2016-05-01 | | Won |
| 926 | 1029 | 36% | 2016-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 950 | 75% | 2016-01-02 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-12-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2014-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2014-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1075 | 47% | 2013-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2012-06-29 | | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2009-02-03 | | Lost |
| 929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2004-12-11 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2004-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2004-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1015.3 vs 1034.8 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).