Probing the Villas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-05-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1025 | 54% | 2023-05-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1020 | 67% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1064 | 62% | 2019-06-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 1020 | 54% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2002-12-30 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-17 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1100.9 vs 1055.1 has a 56.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).