Coup de Main
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1023 | 47% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 793 | 82% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
| 978 | 1023 | 44% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 908 | 896 | 52% | 2021-04-21 | Lost |
| 968 | 1218 | 19% | 2019-12-18 | Lost |
| 862 | 862 | 50% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-06-07 | Won |
| 1026 | 1019 | 51% | 2017-12-24 | Lost |
| 987 | 896 | 63% | 2017-09-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 1001 | 1046 | 44% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 1001 | 58% | 2014-09-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 1001 | 58% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 973 | 1150 | 27% | 2013-06-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1034 | 51% | 2010-07-26 | Lost |
| 997 | 1019 | 47% | 2010-04-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1019 | 47% | 2010-04-04 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1070 | 54% | 2004-04-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2002-07-07 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1019 | 48% | 1997-10-01 | Won |
| 1006 | 1019 | 48% | 1997-06-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1011.5 vs 1025.7 has a 47.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).