Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (18 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 49
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2026-02-20 | | Won |
| 1015 | 943 | 60% | 2024-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2020-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2019-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 966 | 58% | 2019-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 959 | 63% | 2018-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1134 | 36% | 2017-10-07 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-07-05 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2011-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-12-10 | | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2008-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1031 | 72% | 2007-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2007-03-09 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2006-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1167 | 48% | 2005-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2004-06-01 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2003-03-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1037.5 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).