Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (16 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 47
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1173 | 37% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1031 | 950 | 61% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1008 | 53% | 2018-12-20 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1124 | 40% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2017-07-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 880 | 82% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 984 | 66% | 2010-12-10 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1038 | 70% | 2007-03-10 | Won |
| 1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2006-01-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1158 | 53% | 2005-05-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 731 | 91% | 2004-06-01 | Won |
| 1059 | 1092 | 45% | 2003-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1107.1 vs 1031.9 has a 60.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).