Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (13 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 34
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1113 | 48% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1028 | 906 | 67% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1008 | 60% | 2018-12-20 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1106 | 38% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2017-07-05 | Won |
| 1141 | 880 | 82% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 748 | 86% | 2010-12-10 | Won |
| 938 | 982 | 44% | 2010-11-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2007-03-10 | Won |
| 1046 | 1024 | 53% | 2006-01-03 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1092 | 55% | 2003-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1089.2 vs 1007.5 has a 61.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).