Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (18 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 49
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2026-02-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1172 | 37% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 962 | 59% | 2018-12-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1125 | 38% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2017-07-05 | Won |
| 1200 | 880 | 86% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 980 | 66% | 2010-12-10 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2007-03-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2006-01-03 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1164 | 51% | 2005-05-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2004-06-01 | Won |
| 1089 | 1092 | 50% | 2003-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1102.5 vs 1034.3 has a 59.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).