Cold Crocodiles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59
Attacker wins (British): 25
Defender wins (German): 33
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1243 | 21% | 2026-03-11 | Won |
| 1042 | 1049 | 49% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 1140 | 982 | 71% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1026 | 44% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1194 | 31% | 2023-04-30 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1046 | 45% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1096 | 978 | 66% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 878 | 805 | 60% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 1105 | 66% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1021 | 59% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 1029 | 41% | 2020-09-10 | Won |
| 780 | 1029 | 19% | 2020-09-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 1094 | 56% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1024 | 972 | 57% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1002 | 53% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 933 | 1256 | 13% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1072 | 49% | 2019-03-08 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1022 | 58% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 950 | 70% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1253 | 25% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-08-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 891 | 74% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1072 | 55% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1125 | 1117 | 51% | 2011-05-17 | Won |
| 918 | 918 | 50% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1058 | 66% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 906 | 80% | 2009-09-21 | Won |
| 933 | 952 | 47% | 2009-07-31 | Won |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2009-06-11 | Won |
| 1092 | 1174 | 38% | 2008-12-31 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2007-08-21 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1209 | 28% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 1021 | 1423 | 9% | 2007-04-01 | Won |
| 1253 | 1047 | 77% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 1057 | 966 | 63% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 1225 | 1263 | 45% | 2004-04-03 | Lost |
| 1122 | 927 | 75% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2002-03-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 923 | 1068 | 30% | 2000-01-24 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1154 | 34% | 1999-10-08 | Lost |
| 1105 | 984 | 67% | 1998-07-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 892 | 73% | 1998-01-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 989 | 80% | 1995-11-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 1173 | 40% | 1995-09-17 | Lost |
| 1198 | 881 | 86% | 1993-07-09 | Won |
| 1198 | 919 | 83% | 1993-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1050.3 has a 51.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).