Cold Crocodiles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53
Attacker wins (British): 23
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 920 | 74% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 920 | 1018 | 36% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1147 | 34% | 2023-04-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1084 | 47% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1130 | 974 | 71% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 937 | 804 | 68% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 937 | 949 | 48% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1216 | 1103 | 66% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1022 | 56% | 2021-01-09 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2020-10-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2020-09-10 | Won |
| 796 | 1031 | 21% | 2020-09-09 | Won |
| 1137 | 1094 | 56% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 971 | 69% | 2020-05-15 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1002 | 58% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 1218 | 17% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1077 | 48% | 2019-03-08 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1042 | 53% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 955 | 1242 | 16% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1094 | 966 | 68% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1310 | 20% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-08-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1077 | 54% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2011-05-17 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-11-10 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1017 | 72% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
| 1149 | 913 | 80% | 2009-09-21 | Won |
| 948 | 952 | 49% | 2009-07-31 | Won |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2009-06-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 1183 | 37% | 2008-12-31 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2007-08-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1218 | 29% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1400 | 8% | 2007-04-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 1046 | 82% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2006-11-09 | Won |
| 1083 | 973 | 65% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 1124 | 931 | 75% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2002-03-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1028 | 50% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 1064 | 1154 | 37% | 1999-10-08 | Lost |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 1998-07-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 892 | 68% | 1998-01-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 988 | 80% | 1995-11-03 | Won |
| 1125 | 1118 | 51% | 1995-09-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 881 | 73% | 1993-07-09 | Won |
| 1055 | 919 | 69% | 1993-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1035.8 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).