Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1015 | 33% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1170 | 43% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 1166 | 22% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1070 | 910 | 72% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1134 | 1170 | 45% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1106 | 985 | 67% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 884 | 70% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 967 | 74% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1158 | 26% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1006 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1170 | 44% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 1993-04-11 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1049.9 has a 49.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).