Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1202 | 38% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 969 | 47% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1003 | 1037 | 45% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1188 | 878 | 86% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1111 | 1152 | 44% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1086 | 986 | 64% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1031 | 885 | 70% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 1122 | 54% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1158 | 58% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1007 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 1217 | 19% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 1202 | 16% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1061.8 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).