Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 949 | 802 | 70% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1203 | 878 | 87% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1111 | 1152 | 44% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 986 | 66% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 927 | 64% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 1123 | 54% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1158 | 58% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1007 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 802 | 1145 | 12% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 1193 | 17% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1038.8 has a 50.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).