Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 1015 | 31% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1077 | 56% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 900 | 71% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1120 | 1170 | 43% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1106 | 985 | 67% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1023 | 942 | 61% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 1021 | 68% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1158 | 26% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1006 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1077 | 57% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 1993-04-11 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1042.6 has a 51.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).