Fighting Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1021 | 40% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 1074 | 35% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1060 | 68% | 2002-10-06 | Won |
| 1071 | 1074 | 50% | 2002-08-09 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2002-07-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1074 | 37% | 1996-04-25 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1050.6 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).