Fighting Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 961 | 1063 | 36% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 853 | 1028 | 27% | 2002-10-06 | Won |
| 1122 | 1063 | 58% | 2002-08-09 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1123 | 37% | 2002-07-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1063 | 39% | 1996-04-25 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1000.7 vs 1053.2 has a 42.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).