Fighting Sparrow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian / Dutch): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 1005 | 42% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 961 | 1050 | 37% | 2006-04-23 | Lost |
| 853 | 1036 | 26% | 2002-10-06 | Won |
| 1122 | 1050 | 60% | 2002-08-09 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1064 | 45% | 2002-07-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1050 | 41% | 1996-04-25 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1001.8 vs 1044.6 has a 43.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).