In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 275 (41 on the archive and 234 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 137
Defender wins (German): 137
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1018 | 49% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
1016 | 1003 | 52% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
988 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
930 | 1024 | 37% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
972 | 1083 | 35% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
1110 | 1188 | 39% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
939 | 1188 | 19% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
939 | 1088 | 30% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
1016 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
1028 | 1317 | 16% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
1144 | 1058 | 62% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
1013 | 978 | 55% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
1013 | 1087 | 40% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
1013 | 1087 | 40% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
1099 | 1013 | 62% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
1003 | 933 | 60% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
1046 | 1144 | 36% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
1245 | 1046 | 76% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
1104 | 982 | 67% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
1133 | 1115 | 53% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
1097 | 1284 | 25% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
1115 | 1008 | 65% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
878 | 980 | 36% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
982 | 1030 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
1030 | 982 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
972 | 1017 | 44% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
988 | 988 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
1092 | 1227 | 31% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
1110 | 1005 | 65% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
1030 | 1005 | 54% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
1059 | 1030 | 54% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
1001 | 994 | 51% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
1083 | 929 | 71% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
958 | 1142 | 26% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
1142 | 958 | 74% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1038 vs 1055.8 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).