In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 286 (49 on the archive and 237 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 135
Defender wins (German): 150
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 1069 | 1006 | 59% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1093 | 1110 | 48% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 1001 | 55% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
| 852 | 999 | 30% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1032 | 47% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1193 | 38% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1193 | 27% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1109 | 37% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1282 | 16% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 983 | 1038 | 42% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 896 | 978 | 38% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 896 | 1061 | 28% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 896 | 1061 | 28% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 896 | 960 | 41% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 896 | 78% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 1002 | 935 | 60% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1207 | 33% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 1086 | 71% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1094 | 55% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1038 | 58% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 874 | 982 | 35% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
| 982 | 1029 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 982 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
| 961 | 1017 | 42% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 931 | 982 | 43% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1228 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1128 | 1026 | 64% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1029 | 1036 | 49% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1029 | 55% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 945 | 58% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1069 | 71% | 1998-07-31 | Lost |
| 1029 | 929 | 64% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 959 | 1133 | 27% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 959 | 73% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
| 1223 | 934 | 84% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 896 | 78% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1050.3 has a 48.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).