In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 291 (54 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 135
Defender wins (German): 156
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2026-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-01-05 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-12-01 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2023-10-23 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2023-10-07 | | Won |
| 999 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2023-03-06 | | Lost |
| 851 | 1000 | 30% | 2023-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1289 | 21% | 2022-09-04 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1289 | 14% | 2022-02-09 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1156 | 26% | 2022-02-04 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2021-07-19 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-06-18 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-04-01 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-03-06 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1038 | 52% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 981 | 979 | 50% | 2017-10-25 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1045 | 41% | 2017-08-11 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1045 | 41% | 2017-08-11 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-08-08 | | Won |
| 1086 | 981 | 65% | 2017-05-30 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2017-05-20 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-03-11 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2017-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-03-02 | | Won |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2017-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2016-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2016-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1132 | 47% | 2015-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2015-02-07 | | Won |
| 983 | 1035 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 983 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2014-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2013-02-12 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1005 | 44% | 2011-10-13 | | Won |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2011-01-05 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | | Won |
| 1131 | 1080 | 57% | 2010-06-12 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1031 | 51% | 2007-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2007-08-07 | | Lost |
| 999 | 954 | 56% | 2003-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1998-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1998-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 1997-01-01 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1167 | 26% | 1996-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 982 | 74% | 1996-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1996-08-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1988-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 981 | 65% | | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1058.2 has a 44.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).