In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 288 (50 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 145
Defender wins (German): 142
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 976 | 1006 | 46% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 960 | 1083 | 33% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 1089 | 1083 | 51% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2023-06-02 | Lost |
| 1110 | 949 | 72% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 850 | 1073 | 22% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1253 | 31% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 946 | 1258 | 14% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 946 | 1078 | 32% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 960 | 1083 | 33% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 995 | 1319 | 13% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
| 1155 | 977 | 74% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 977 | 1155 | 26% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 962 | 988 | 46% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 978 | 58% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1088 | 39% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1088 | 39% | 2017-08-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 960 | 57% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1126 | 1009 | 66% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 1001 | 935 | 59% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 940 | 1155 | 22% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1155 | 35% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 1245 | 1046 | 76% | 2017-03-02 | Won |
| 1080 | 1002 | 61% | 2017-02-12 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1113 | 53% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1221 | 32% | 2016-05-27 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2016-04-24 | Lost |
| 1113 | 988 | 67% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
| 875 | 982 | 35% | 2015-02-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1035 | 43% | 2014-11-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 983 | 57% | 2014-08-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1045 | 43% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 961 | 1016 | 42% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 898 | 960 | 41% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2011-01-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1228 | 32% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 993 | 64% | 2010-06-12 | Won |
| 1035 | 1058 | 47% | 2007-09-11 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1035 | 55% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1005 | 51% | 2003-10-25 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1069 | 60% | 1998-07-31 | Lost |
| 1191 | 929 | 82% | 1997-01-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1103 | 33% | 1996-09-03 | Lost |
| 1103 | 982 | 67% | 1996-08-27 | Lost |
| 1136 | 934 | 76% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 841 | 1126 | 16% | | Won |
| 996 | 1126 | 32% | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1047 | 61% | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1054.3 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).