High Tide at Heiligenbeil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (16 on the archive and 130 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 60
Defender wins (German): 86
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
1016 | 1003 | 52% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
939 | 954 | 48% | 2014-05-13 | Won |
1074 | 1008 | 59% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
990 | 990 | 50% | 2012-07-18 | Lost |
987 | 1008 | 47% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
979 | 1097 | 34% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
994 | 962 | 55% | 2005-11-29 | Won |
1037 | 970 | 60% | 2005-09-25 | Won |
1049 | 1097 | 43% | 2005-04-30 | Lost |
909 | 1097 | 25% | 2003-04-25 | Lost |
1058 | 1097 | 44% | 2003-04-05 | Won |
934 | 992 | 42% | 2002-04-20 | Won |
1142 | 1188 | 43% | 2001-05-05 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2000-12-02 | Lost |
1083 | 1030 | 58% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1024.8 vs 1031.8 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).