The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 1072 | 50% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 1023 | 53% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1070 | 35% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 950 | 1012 | 41% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1133 | 999 | 68% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 978 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 988 | 56% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 884 | 896 | 48% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 942 | 1064 | 33% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1127 | 37% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1018 | 67% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1117 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 887 | 913 | 46% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 938 | 51% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 947 | 1144 | 24% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1072 | 55% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 975 | 67% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1030 | 48% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 982 | 62% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1215 | 24% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 995 | 70% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1029.3 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).