The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (27 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 60
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
890 | 955 | 41% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
953 | 988 | 45% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
960 | 937 | 53% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
967 | 980 | 48% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
977 | 878 | 64% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
926 | 1057 | 32% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
1156 | 1011 | 70% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
1021 | 1126 | 35% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
1137 | 1116 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
1032 | 780 | 81% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
1105 | 1049 | 58% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2007-03-22 | Lost |
1097 | 992 | 65% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
1083 | 1008 | 61% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
1063 | 992 | 60% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
1083 | 959 | 67% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1026.6 vs 1000.4 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).