The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1128 | 38% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1017 | 42% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 951 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1016 | 67% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 977 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 906 | 893 | 52% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 906 | 67% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 993 | 878 | 66% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 926 | 1061 | 31% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1126 | 39% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1027 | 69% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1137 | 1116 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 965 | 913 | 57% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 929 | 1144 | 22% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1086 | 53% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2007-03-22 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1019 | 61% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 986 | 61% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1088 | 43% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1008.6 has a 54.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).