The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 1052 | 1077 | 46% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 1089 | 43% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 962 | 1055 | 37% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 950 | 1002 | 43% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1172 | 999 | 73% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 978 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 928 | 878 | 57% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 942 | 1064 | 33% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1128 | 37% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1018 | 71% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1117 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 883 | 904 | 47% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 949 | 1143 | 25% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1217 | 981 | 80% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1072 | 55% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1068 | 53% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1094 | 1052 | 56% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1045 | 1030 | 52% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 982 | 62% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1215 | 27% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
| 1140 | 994 | 70% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1037.2 vs 1033.7 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).