The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1112 | 46% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 1064 | 47% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 998 | 1040 | 44% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 951 | 1027 | 39% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1016 | 67% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 977 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 909 | 67% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 998 | 878 | 67% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 925 | 1062 | 31% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1127 | 43% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1027 | 66% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1117 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 900 | 60% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 977 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1098 | 51% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1050 | 52% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2007-03-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1046 | 57% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 986 | 61% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1186 | 30% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
| 1152 | 994 | 71% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1046.2 vs 1012.8 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).