The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (32 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 80
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 61
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1055 | 43% | 2026-05-01 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-12-30 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-05-04 | | Won |
| 944 | 1027 | 38% | 2024-02-19 | | Won |
| 950 | 999 | 43% | 2023-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2023-05-13 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1052 | 41% | 2023-03-25 | D | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-04-24 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2022-01-15 | | Won |
| 966 | 922 | 56% | 2021-12-09 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-08-20 | | Won |
| 943 | 1066 | 33% | 2021-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1128 | 38% | 2021-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1200 | 1018 | 74% | 2021-03-13 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-03-10 | | Lost |
| 903 | 943 | 44% | 2020-11-25 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-08-11 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-04-08 | | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2012-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2010-11-13 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1074 | 52% | 2008-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2006-03-17 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1030 | 60% | 2005-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2004-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-11-07 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 995 | 70% | 2001-10-19 | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1013.4 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).