By Ourselves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 343 (64 on the archive and 279 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 155
Defender wins (German): 188
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 992 | 59% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
939 | 1083 | 30% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
953 | 944 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
1043 | 890 | 71% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
1146 | 1144 | 50% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2023-02-14 | Lost |
1003 | 1013 | 49% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
1075 | 960 | 66% | 2022-11-18 | Won |
980 | 997 | 48% | 2022-09-13 | Lost |
1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2022-08-09 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2022-06-13 | Won |
1429 | 1018 | 91% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
1018 | 1429 | 9% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
1188 | 807 | 90% | 2022-05-09 | Won |
1019 | 939 | 61% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
1025 | 992 | 55% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
1159 | 1018 | 69% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
959 | 878 | 61% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
981 | 1032 | 43% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
1028 | 1001 | 54% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
1032 | 780 | 81% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
943 | 919 | 53% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
1008 | 1021 | 48% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
1013 | 1098 | 38% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
1046 | 1083 | 45% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
924 | 1058 | 32% | 2019-09-28 | Lost |
1014 | 1022 | 49% | 2019-09-14 | Lost |
916 | 998 | 38% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
1025 | 943 | 62% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
1083 | 1113 | 46% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
988 | 992 | 49% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
995 | 1083 | 38% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
1087 | 992 | 63% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-03-09 | Won |
1008 | 1017 | 49% | 2017-02-27 | Lost |
1042 | 1003 | 56% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
1068 | 1046 | 53% | 2015-11-19 | Won |
915 | 1104 | 25% | 2015-07-09 | Lost |
1104 | 990 | 66% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
983 | 1104 | 33% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
1181 | 1142 | 56% | 2013-10-30 | Won |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
1094 | 1097 | 50% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
1157 | 964 | 75% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
1058 | 1008 | 57% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
1227 | 1058 | 73% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2007-04-20 | Lost |
1360 | 1115 | 80% | 2006-09-08 | Won |
979 | 1300 | 14% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
1300 | 1226 | 60% | 2006-01-31 | Won |
1096 | 1142 | 43% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
1142 | 980 | 72% | 2005-09-06 | Won |
983 | 1033 | 43% | 2005-07-16 | Lost |
1097 | 1003 | 63% | 2004-04-25 | Lost |
1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-02-03 | Won |
1317 | 967 | 88% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
847 | 992 | 30% | 2002-06-14 | Won |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1024.8 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).