By Ourselves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 34
Defender wins (German): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1024 | 998 | 54% | 2025-07-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 985 | 956 | 54% | 2025-04-05 | Won |
| 1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2025-03-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1087 | 1038 | 57% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2024-12-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 971 | 59% | 2024-03-30 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1044 | 53% | 2023-07-26 | Lost |
| 988 | 996 | 49% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 970 | 58% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 943 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1063 | 866 | 76% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
| 1163 | 1143 | 53% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2023-02-14 | Lost |
| 885 | 909 | 47% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1102 | 1005 | 64% | 2022-11-18 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2022-09-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 997 | 55% | 2022-08-09 | Lost |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2022-06-13 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1274 | 744 | 95% | 2022-05-09 | Won |
| 831 | 1100 | 18% | 2022-05-08 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1052 | 52% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1023 | 63% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1174 | 1019 | 71% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 950 | 878 | 60% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 961 | 1038 | 39% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 959 | 59% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 947 | 900 | 57% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1079 | 47% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 909 | 1094 | 26% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1028 | 52% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 946 | 891 | 58% | 2019-09-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1006 | 51% | 2019-09-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 1029 | 35% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 950 | 60% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1057 | 1114 | 42% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1052 | 48% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1052 | 979 | 60% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 1028 | 43% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2017-03-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2017-02-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 987 | 60% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1200 | 30% | 2016-11-13 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1067 | 1041 | 54% | 2015-11-19 | Won |
| 920 | 1191 | 17% | 2015-07-09 | Lost |
| 1191 | 990 | 76% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1191 | 23% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1140 | 47% | 2013-10-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1100 | 49% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 963 | 75% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1025 | 1050 | 46% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
| 891 | 1060 | 27% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
| 1228 | 1058 | 73% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-04-20 | Lost |
| 1415 | 1112 | 85% | 2006-09-08 | Won |
| 995 | 1328 | 13% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1200 | 29% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1328 | 1055 | 83% | 2006-01-31 | Won |
| 1106 | 1127 | 47% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 987 | 69% | 2005-09-06 | Won |
| 983 | 974 | 51% | 2005-07-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1004 | 63% | 2004-04-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-02-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 1063 | 55% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
| 1200 | 999 | 76% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 847 | 986 | 31% | 2002-06-14 | Won |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1026.8 has a 53.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).