By Ourselves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71
Attacker wins (Norwegian): 30
Defender wins (German): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 978 | 58% | 2024-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1007 | 969 | 55% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 955 | 946 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1061 | 941 | 67% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
| 1188 | 1200 | 48% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2023-02-14 | Lost |
| 1003 | 907 | 63% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1083 | 937 | 70% | 2022-11-18 | Won |
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2022-09-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1053 | 47% | 2022-08-09 | Lost |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2022-06-13 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 907 | 885 | 53% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1218 | 765 | 93% | 2022-05-09 | Won |
| 847 | 1110 | 18% | 2022-05-08 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1007 | 64% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 1019 | 56% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 1019 | 71% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 937 | 877 | 59% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 981 | 1053 | 40% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 1005 | 52% | 2021-04-13 | Won |
| 970 | 880 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 917 | 54% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1029 | 49% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 907 | 1098 | 25% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1063 | 47% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2019-09-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1022 | 49% | 2019-09-14 | Lost |
| 916 | 1062 | 30% | 2019-04-27 | Lost |
| 1034 | 942 | 63% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1113 | 42% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 990 | 1019 | 46% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1063 | 43% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 1087 | 979 | 65% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-03-09 | Won |
| 1022 | 1017 | 51% | 2017-02-27 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1001 | 56% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1055 | 50% | 2016-11-13 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1118 | 48% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 1067 | 1046 | 53% | 2015-11-19 | Won |
| 914 | 1140 | 21% | 2015-07-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 990 | 70% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1140 | 29% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1141 | 46% | 2013-10-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1098 | 49% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 1149 | 964 | 74% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 948 | 1022 | 40% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
| 1228 | 1058 | 73% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-04-20 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1114 | 84% | 2006-09-08 | Won |
| 976 | 1310 | 13% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1055 | 45% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1023 | 84% | 2006-01-31 | Won |
| 1097 | 1118 | 47% | 2005-10-08 | Lost |
| 1118 | 979 | 69% | 2005-09-06 | Won |
| 983 | 991 | 49% | 2005-07-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1005 | 63% | 2004-04-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-02-03 | Won |
| 1099 | 1064 | 55% | 2003-07-26 | Won |
| 1274 | 951 | 87% | 2003-05-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 998 | 58% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 847 | 986 | 31% | 2002-06-14 | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1020.6 has a 54.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).