Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1042 | 1030 | 52% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1042 | 976 | 59% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1029 | 45% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1194 | 1146 | 57% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1165 | 48% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1010 | 58% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1279 | 18% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1138 | 940 | 76% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1085 | 986 | 64% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 940 | 76% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1279 | 26% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1013 | 77% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 885 | 854 | 54% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 950 | 917 | 55% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2016-09-16 | Won |
| 1037 | 1120 | 38% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1053 | 62% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1095 | 35% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1080 | 59% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1274 | 968 | 85% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1194 | 43% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1138 | 1111 | 54% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 908 | 1178 | 17% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1043 | 1021 | 53% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2004-01-16 | Won |
| 1194 | 1016 | 74% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 963 | 1095 | 32% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1049.5 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).