Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1075 | 1030 | 56% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1075 | 983 | 63% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1051 | 42% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 976 | 48% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1187 | 1128 | 58% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1165 | 60% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1036 | 55% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1271 | 21% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1122 | 986 | 69% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1025 | 757 | 82% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1271 | 25% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1025 | 76% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1167 | 971 | 76% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 891 | 854 | 55% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 940 | 919 | 53% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2016-09-16 | Won |
| 1002 | 1120 | 34% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1044 | 63% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1126 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1080 | 59% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1333 | 968 | 89% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1187 | 44% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 1110 | 56% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 908 | 1223 | 14% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1010 | 1061 | 43% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2004-01-16 | Won |
| 1187 | 1014 | 73% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 963 | 1095 | 32% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1049.5 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).