Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1087 | 36% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1055 | 1132 | 39% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1165 | 65% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1007 | 53% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1218 | 23% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 983 | 61% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 796 | 67% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1218 | 28% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 920 | 85% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 937 | 853 | 62% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 907 | 968 | 41% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1120 | 42% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1019 | 66% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 987 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1081 | 64% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 977 | 87% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 912 | 1148 | 20% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1081 | 46% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1036.4 has a 53.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).