The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (24 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 64
Defender wins (German): 57
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1225 | 49% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1044 | 968 | 61% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 1142 | 25% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1069 | 1105 | 45% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 969 | 57% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 863 | 895 | 45% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 928 | 911 | 52% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1193 | 957 | 80% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 869 | 999 | 32% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1061 | 869 | 75% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 1061 | 36% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1014 | 82% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1316 | 18% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 906 | 66% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1203 | 61% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1272 | 1029 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 930 | 57% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1092 | 49% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1022.8 has a 54.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).