The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 121 (24 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 63
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1044 | 68% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1083 | 1020 | 59% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 970 | 60% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 1203 | 19% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1032 | 1105 | 40% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 969 | 56% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 862 | 879 | 48% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1281 | 1010 | 83% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 940 | 988 | 43% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 870 | 71% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 958 | 1029 | 40% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1027 | 67% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1274 | 22% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1095 | 992 | 64% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 904 | 67% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1204 | 42% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1034 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 982 | 49% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1092 | 49% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1019.4 has a 54.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).