The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (British): 14
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 969 | 61% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 955 | 1173 | 22% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1050 | 1105 | 42% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1007 | 982 | 54% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 864 | 941 | 39% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 885 | 907 | 47% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1193 | 947 | 80% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 955 | 1071 | 34% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 853 | 998 | 30% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 861 | 79% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 963 | 1087 | 33% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1022 | 81% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1310 | 18% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 992 | 59% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 906 | 66% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1202 | 60% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1272 | 1030 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 966 | 51% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1092 | 49% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1021.8 has a 53.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).