Shklov's Labors Lost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 991 | 988 | 50% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1037 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-10-03 | Won |
| 986 | 1023 | 45% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-06-09 | Won |
| 952 | 997 | 44% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 878 | 884 | 49% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 1101 | 1010 | 63% | 2023-09-06 | Won |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1142 | 32% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 875 | 875 | 50% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 959 | 61% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1037 | 1035 | 50% | 2022-09-05 | Won |
| 941 | 898 | 56% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 987 | 56% | 2021-09-28 | Won |
| 992 | 986 | 51% | 2021-03-18 | Won |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 756 | 1281 | 5% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 996 | 989 | 51% | 2020-03-12 | Won |
| 989 | 996 | 49% | 2020-03-03 | Won |
| 984 | 950 | 55% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 1216 | 24% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 1022 | 45% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1003 | 59% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 991 | 1170 | 26% | 2018-02-05 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1029 | 58% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 950 | 60% | 2017-03-12 | Won |
| 1285 | 1042 | 80% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 950 | 66% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 958 | 1138 | 26% | 2016-07-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1086 | 47% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 827 | 846 | 47% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 986 | 1158 | 27% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1131 | 51% | 2014-05-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 996 | 60% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 900 | 1015 | 34% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 916 | 67% | 2013-02-16 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2012-11-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 1020 | 45% | 2012-07-07 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1122 | 34% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1093 | 870 | 78% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 892 | 903 | 48% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Lost |
| 1113 | 936 | 73% | 2011-01-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1022 | 45% | 2010-05-21 | Won |
| 1192 | 951 | 80% | 2009-08-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 1099 | 34% | 2009-03-21 | Lost |
| 972 | 1023 | 43% | 2009-01-31 | Lost |
| 989 | 986 | 50% | 2009-01-01 | Tied |
| 1027 | 1102 | 39% | 2008-10-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 940 | 72% | 2004-04-24 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1274 | 52% | 2004-04-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 1100 | 44% | 2004-04-10 | Won |
| 957 | 982 | 46% | 2002-03-26 | Lost |
| 1067 | 845 | 78% | 2000-07-10 | Lost |
| 1177 | 987 | 75% | 1999-07-29 | Won |
| 1113 | 1085 | 54% | 1999-02-03 | Won |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 1998-09-02 | Lost |
| 1177 | 969 | 77% | 1994-07-17 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1037 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (34 wins) average ELOs: 1027.2 vs 1018.7 has a 51.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).