Shklov's Labors Lost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 499 (77 on the archive and 422 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 269
Defender wins (Russian): 229
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-09-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-03 | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-09-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-09-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-09-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2021-03-18 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-03-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2020-03-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 967 | 1071 | 35% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2018-02-05 | Lost |
| 913 | 1000 | 38% | 2017-05-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 971 | 1024 | 42% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2016-07-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2014-05-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 758 | 80% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-07-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 999 | 50% | 2013-03-22 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2013-02-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2013-02-12 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2012-11-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2012-07-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1047 | 951 | 63% | 2011-12-29 | Won |
| 1004 | 1004 | 50% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 891 | 748 | 69% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Lost |
| 1042 | 927 | 66% | 2011-01-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1001 | 48% | 2010-05-21 | Won |
| 958 | 945 | 52% | 2009-08-16 | Lost |
| 966 | 945 | 53% | 2009-03-21 | Lost |
| 971 | 894 | 61% | 2009-01-31 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1036 | 46% | 2009-01-01 | Tied |
| 1039 | 1052 | 48% | 2008-10-11 | Won |
| 1105 | 1013 | 63% | 2004-05-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1206 | 40% | 2004-04-24 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1191 | 36% | 2004-04-17 | Won |
| 1045 | 1133 | 38% | 2004-04-10 | Won |
| 957 | 961 | 49% | 2002-03-26 | Lost |
| 951 | 845 | 65% | 2000-07-10 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1122 | 54% | 2000-06-09 | Won |
| 1164 | 987 | 73% | 1999-07-29 | Won |
| 1113 | 1104 | 51% | 1999-02-03 | Won |
| 856 | 1111 | 19% | 1998-09-02 | Lost |
| 1147 | 919 | 79% | 1998-04-11 | Won |
| 1164 | 969 | 75% | 1994-07-17 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1068 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1011.3 vs 1001.9 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).