Shklov's Labors Lost
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 500 (77 on the archive and 423 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 270
Defender wins (Russian): 229
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-09-08 | Won | |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-10-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2024-07-26 | Won | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-06-09 | Won | |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2024-04-20 | Lost | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2024-01-28 | Lost | |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-09-19 | Won | |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2023-09-06 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2023-07-08 | Lost | |
| 978 | 1092 | 34% | 2023-05-20 | Lost | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2023-01-14 | Lost | |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-09-10 | Won | |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-09-05 | Won | |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-09-04 | Lost | |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-09-29 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1002 | 55% | 2021-09-28 | Won | |
| 999 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2021-02-11 | Lost | |
| 729 | 1272 | 4% | 2020-11-30 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 780 | 81% | 2020-04-22 | Lost | |
| 985 | 989 | 49% | 2020-03-12 | Won | |
| 989 | 985 | 51% | 2020-03-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2020-01-26 | Won | |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2019-05-03 | Lost | |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-08-11 | Won | |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2018-05-19 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1002 | 60% | 2018-02-10 | Lost | |
| 992 | 1161 | 27% | 2018-02-05 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1038 | 50% | 2017-05-26 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-04-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2017-03-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2017-01-14 | Won | |
| 1069 | 981 | 62% | 2017-01-08 | Won | |
| 1137 | 1214 | 39% | 2016-12-29 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2016-07-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1116 | 34% | 2016-04-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2016-04-10 | Won | |
| 1068 | 981 | 62% | 2016-04-01 | Won | |
| 1096 | 943 | 71% | 2016-02-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2016-01-17 | Lost | |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-22 | Won | |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2014-11-11 | Lost | |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2014-05-19 | Won | |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-01-01 | Won | |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-07-12 | Lost | |
| 900 | 1000 | 36% | 2013-03-22 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-02-16 | Won | |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-02-12 | Lost | |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-11-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2012-07-07 | Lost | |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-06-12 | Lost | |
| 1093 | 870 | 78% | 2011-12-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2011-10-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2011-04-01 | Lost | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-03-09 | Lost | |
| 1150 | 936 | 77% | 2011-01-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2010-05-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2009-08-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2009-03-21 | Lost | |
| 971 | 1008 | 45% | 2009-01-31 | Lost | |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2009-01-01 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2008-10-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2004-05-23 | Lost | |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-04-24 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2004-04-17 | Won | |
| 1045 | 1101 | 42% | 2004-04-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2002-03-26 | Lost | |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2000-07-10 | Lost | |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-06-09 | Won | |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1999-07-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 1999-02-03 | Won | |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 1998-09-02 | Lost | |
| 1343 | 919 | 92% | 1998-04-11 | Won | |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1994-07-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1026.6 vs 1020.1 has a 50.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).