Skirmish In The Snow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 970 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2018-03-06 | | Won |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2018-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1020 | 66% | 2015-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1217 | 31% | 2014-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2011-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2010-06-11 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2007-11-03 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2007-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-07-02 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1044.7 has a 47.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).