The Guards Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 571 (19 on the archive and 552 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 280
Defender wins (German): 291
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 875 | 1053 | 26% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1164 | 1021 | 69% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 887 | 877 | 51% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 1093 | 944 | 70% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1035 | 51% | 2013-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2011-12-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1026 | 50% | 2010-03-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 918 | 58% | 2009-08-12 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1126 | 39% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 1061 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-01-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 1099 | 48% | 2004-09-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1169 | 25% | 2003-05-20 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1215 | 29% | 1999-02-15 | Lost |
| 1115 | 985 | 68% | 1992-06-14 | Lost |
| 1050 | 940 | 65% | 1990-09-01 | Won |
| 1115 | 1024 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1037.9 vs 1031.3 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).