Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (25 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
915 | 964 | 43% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
1054 | 941 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
950 | 961 | 48% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
920 | 941 | 47% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
1008 | 961 | 57% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
898 | 986 | 38% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
998 | 947 | 57% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
983 | 1009 | 46% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
1128 | 1028 | 64% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
1135 | 1068 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
947 | 895 | 57% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
1095 | 956 | 69% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
1095 | 911 | 74% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
1001 | 1050 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
965 | 1028 | 41% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
1360 | 1098 | 82% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
1360 | 1086 | 83% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
1083 | 1048 | 55% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
1087 | 945 | 69% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1053.9 vs 998.4 has a 57.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).