Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (29 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 954 | 45% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 933 | 890 | 56% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1005 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 940 | 1005 | 41% | 2023-02-06 | Lost |
| 1224 | 890 | 87% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2022-09-07 | Lost |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 1180 | 39% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 949 | 61% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2019-03-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1067 | 60% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 969 | 898 | 60% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 1066 | 988 | 61% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1165 | 55% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-04-17 | Lost |
| 1163 | 968 | 75% | 2014-11-27 | Won |
| 1163 | 909 | 81% | 2014-11-14 | Tied |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2014-06-11 | Won |
| 1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2013-05-01 | Lost |
| 966 | 1098 | 32% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 1415 | 1100 | 86% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
| 1415 | 1096 | 86% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1044 | 48% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 941 | 65% | 1998-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1074 vs 1003.1 has a 60.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).