Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1051 | 1078 | 46% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1183 | 951 | 79% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 951 | 1183 | 21% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 1024 | 960 | 59% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1333 | 15% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1208 | 57% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 963 | 49% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1108 | 1039 | 60% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 953 | 48% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 855 | 846 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1141 | 1017 | 67% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1106 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 830 | 86% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1123 | 987 | 69% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1112 | 47% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1152 | 981 | 73% | 2000-06-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 947 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 938 | 1031 | 37% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 938 | 59% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1118 | 55% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1051 | 942 | 65% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1028 | 872 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1056.5 vs 1016.1 has a 55.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).