Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 163 (21 on the archive and 142 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 96
Defender wins (German): 67
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
892 | 919 | 46% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1087 | 1068 | 53% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
1109 | 953 | 71% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
953 | 1109 | 29% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
1006 | 966 | 56% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
1058 | 1307 | 19% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
1153 | 1327 | 27% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
953 | 1003 | 43% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
1115 | 1041 | 60% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
939 | 954 | 48% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
853 | 847 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
1197 | 1020 | 73% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
1204 | 1037 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
1142 | 980 | 72% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
1097 | 947 | 70% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
994 | 1031 | 45% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
1020 | 994 | 54% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
1087 | 945 | 69% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
1083 | 870 | 77% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1015.6 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).