Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1046 | 1078 | 45% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1045 | 950 | 63% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1045 | 37% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1226 | 30% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1245 | 46% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1007 | 42% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 909 | 54% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 858 | 850 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1243 | 1019 | 78% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1036 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 976 | 1103 | 32% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 833 | 80% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1127 | 986 | 69% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1021 | 60% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1140 | 977 | 72% | 2000-06-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 948 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1026 | 1062 | 45% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1263 | 41% | 1998-10-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1031 | 46% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1003 | 49% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1290 | 1263 | 54% | 1998-10-14 | Won |
| 1041 | 1026 | 52% | 1997-11-16 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1118 | 44% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 943 | 64% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 873 | 76% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1036.5 has a 54.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).