Over Open Sights
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (68 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 68
Defender wins (American): 93
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
968 | 968 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
1016 | 1213 | 24% | 2023-08-13 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
1030 | 1091 | 41% | 2022-11-15 | Won |
1413 | 1427 | 48% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
958 | 1427 | 6% | 2022-08-06 | Lost |
876 | 916 | 44% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
1032 | 1091 | 42% | 2022-05-06 | Won |
936 | 1016 | 39% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1005 | 1056 | 43% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
979 | 1055 | 39% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-11-04 | Lost |
881 | 978 | 36% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
858 | 848 | 51% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
986 | 979 | 51% | 2021-08-03 | Lost |
1100 | 1143 | 44% | 2021-08-02 | Lost |
1143 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
986 | 1011 | 46% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
1018 | 1427 | 9% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-03-08 | Tied |
1141 | 964 | 73% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
1019 | 1168 | 30% | 2020-09-28 | Won |
1019 | 1168 | 30% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
1020 | 1040 | 47% | 2020-08-31 | Won |
1212 | 942 | 83% | 2020-07-29 | Lost |
942 | 1212 | 17% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
943 | 1191 | 19% | 2020-07-01 | Lost |
1063 | 1150 | 38% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
1150 | 1175 | 46% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
901 | 892 | 51% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
1113 | 1016 | 64% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
1042 | 989 | 58% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
989 | 1027 | 45% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
1159 | 974 | 74% | 2019-08-05 | Lost |
892 | 926 | 45% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
1082 | 1131 | 43% | 2018-10-27 | Won |
1016 | 1056 | 44% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
1004 | 934 | 60% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
1004 | 994 | 51% | 2018-03-12 | Lost |
911 | 1004 | 37% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
933 | 1004 | 40% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
1075 | 1026 | 57% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
1128 | 1183 | 42% | 2017-05-22 | Lost |
1137 | 892 | 80% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
881 | 1016 | 31% | 2016-08-02 | Tied |
926 | 1063 | 31% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
1073 | 1131 | 42% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
895 | 1020 | 33% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
1113 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-09-02 | Won |
1002 | 1016 | 48% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
1055 | 999 | 58% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
992 | 1022 | 46% | 2013-03-18 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
1046 | 933 | 66% | 2012-10-22 | Lost |
963 | 990 | 46% | 2010-07-21 | Lost |
1012 | 1003 | 51% | 2010-06-07 | Won |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-11-10 | Won |
838 | 1047 | 23% | 2009-10-15 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-02-16 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-02-16 | Lost |
1115 | 969 | 70% | 2007-12-11 | Lost |
1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2007-08-25 | Lost |
1038 | 1115 | 39% | 2006-08-05 | Won |
860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-05-08 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-04-13 | Won |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-03-21 | Lost |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1015.8 vs 1047.6 has a 45.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).