Seeking Sanctuary
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 972 | 73% | 2015-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-12-23 | | Won |
| 1044 | 943 | 64% | 2009-12-07 | | Won |
| 981 | 1219 | 20% | 2009-04-11 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1219 | 20% | 2009-04-11 | | Won |
| 1167 | 943 | 78% | 2006-09-06 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1051.8 has a 50.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).