Pillau Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (3 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2019-01-03 | | Won |
| 902 | 1219 | 14% | 2015-02-25 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2003-11-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 953.7 vs 1120 has a 27.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).