Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (36 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 77
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 983 | 51% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1190 | 903 | 84% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 996 | 1101 | 35% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 780 | 1000 | 22% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 893 | 925 | 45% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1232 | 22% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1232 | 22% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 979 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 826 | 80% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 928 | 1076 | 30% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1045 | 928 | 66% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 1040 | 61% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1102 | 68% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 947 | 74% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 970 | 983 | 48% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 1120 | 49% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1140 | 56% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1073 | 52% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 947 | 969 | 47% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1430 | 1059 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1232 | 917 | 86% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1430 | 1232 | 76% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1430 | 24% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1232 | 27% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1056 | 73% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1232 | 901 | 87% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 927 | 982 | 42% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1193 | 26% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1065 | 44% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1019 | 49% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1044.1 has a 53.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).