Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 157 (32 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 75
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 82
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1197 | 1068 | 68% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
994 | 1092 | 36% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
802 | 1168 | 11% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
977 | 928 | 57% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
978 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
1109 | 870 | 80% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
931 | 1009 | 39% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
1058 | 931 | 68% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
989 | 1060 | 40% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
1307 | 1039 | 82% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
970 | 1087 | 34% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
1087 | 1061 | 54% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
988 | 980 | 51% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
1074 | 1062 | 52% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
1006 | 958 | 57% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
1005 | 1030 | 46% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
1360 | 1098 | 82% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
1307 | 917 | 90% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
1360 | 1307 | 58% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1226 | 61% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1226 | 1307 | 39% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1360 | 42% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1307 | 901 | 91% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
987 | 995 | 49% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
1012 | 1083 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1091.4 vs 1070.8 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).