Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (36 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 77
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1160 | 47% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 916 | 1098 | 26% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 762 | 1043 | 17% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 927 | 926 | 50% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1333 | 14% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1333 | 14% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 978 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1203 | 827 | 90% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1089 | 28% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 927 | 64% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1065 | 1070 | 49% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1074 | 82% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 937 | 75% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 971 | 1051 | 39% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1062 | 48% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1151 | 1123 | 54% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1152 | 54% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1075 | 51% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 937 | 969 | 45% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1035 | 53% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1416 | 1100 | 86% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1333 | 917 | 92% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1416 | 1333 | 62% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1416 | 38% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1333 | 17% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1057 | 83% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1333 | 901 | 92% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 928 | 982 | 42% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 986 | 1193 | 23% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1065 | 58% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1028 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1070.8 has a 52.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).