Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (36 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 77
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1045 | 34% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1189 | 48% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 971 | 1100 | 32% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 780 | 990 | 23% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 889 | 926 | 45% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1274 | 18% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1274 | 18% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 979 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1102 | 826 | 83% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1076 | 30% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1045 | 927 | 66% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1040 | 58% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1087 | 75% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1045 | 39% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1061 | 48% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1120 | 45% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 973 | 67% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1140 | 56% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1094 | 49% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1064 | 969 | 63% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1423 | 1071 | 88% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1274 | 917 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1423 | 1274 | 70% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1423 | 30% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1274 | 22% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1274 | 901 | 90% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 927 | 982 | 42% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 986 | 1177 | 25% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1065 | 54% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1054 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1061.3 has a 52.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).