Defiant Confrontation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1074 | 47% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1122 | 1128 | 49% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1082 | 1142 | 41% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1183 | 926 | 81% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1125 | 37% | 2012-08-16 | Won |
| 955 | 1017 | 41% | 2010-12-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2007-04-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2004-09-29 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2004-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1067.5 has a 50.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).