Defiant Confrontation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1100 | 57% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2024-09-23 | Won |
| 1082 | 1130 | 43% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
| 1141 | 897 | 80% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1126 | 37% | 2012-08-16 | Won |
| 954 | 1050 | 37% | 2010-12-11 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2007-04-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2006-08-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2004-09-29 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2004-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1066.9 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).