Defiant Confrontation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1064 | 60% | 2024-10-12 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-07-21 | | Won |
| 1214 | 901 | 86% | 2018-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2012-08-16 | | Won |
| 953 | 1109 | 29% | 2010-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2007-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2006-08-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2004-09-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1050.6 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).