Blackjack is Back!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (19 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 59
Defender wins (German (SS)): 61
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 943 | 54% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1147 | 48% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 912 | 1141 | 21% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1223 | 35% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1058 | 50% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1029 | 66% | 2017-05-21 | Lost |
| 963 | 966 | 50% | 2013-10-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-04-16 | Won |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2011-10-23 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2009-12-17 | Won |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2009-12-07 | Lost |
| 949 | 1121 | 27% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
| 1025 | 1022 | 50% | 2006-07-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 959 | 60% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1210 | 23% | 2005-10-08 | Won |
| 945 | 1076 | 32% | 2000-04-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 1999-09-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1999-09-13 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1073.5 has a 45.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).