Blackjack is Back!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (30 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 68
Defender wins (German (SS)): 63
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-01-27 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2024-01-27 | D | Won |
| 947 | 1178 | 21% | 2022-11-12 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2022-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-05-21 | | Lost |
| 960 | 966 | 49% | 2013-10-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2011-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2010-12-14 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2009-12-17 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2009-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1080 | 40% | 2008-10-08 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1151 | 51% | 2008-10-03 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1151 | 38% | 2008-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2008-02-22 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2008-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-07-30 | | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1192 | 26% | 2005-10-08 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2005-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2004-12-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2002-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1076 | 43% | 2000-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 1999-09-25 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1999-09-13 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 1999-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 1999-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1063.1 has a 46.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).