The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1142 | 30% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1022 | 40% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1024 | 992 | 55% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 966 | 899 | 60% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1161 | 35% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1405 | 11% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1218 | 1062 | 71% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 933 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1149 | 41% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1099.4 has a 40.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).