The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1133 | 40% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 1012 | 41% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1019 | 992 | 54% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 893 | 1102 | 23% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1123 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1159 | 43% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1114 | 1430 | 14% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1209 | 1023 | 74% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 921 | 1046 | 33% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1140 | 31% | 2005-11-11 | Won |
| 1214 | 1165 | 57% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1111.4 has a 36.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).