The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1173 | 20% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 955 | 974 | 47% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1063 | 992 | 60% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 937 | 898 | 56% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 1119 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1138 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1400 | 12% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1218 | 1083 | 69% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 933 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 958 | 1148 | 25% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1012.4 vs 1097.1 has a 38.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).