The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1160 | 36% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 1002 | 43% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 992 | 58% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
| 928 | 1103 | 27% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1123 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1173 | 41% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 982 | 1068 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Won |
| 1114 | 1423 | 14% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1209 | 1041 | 72% | 2005-12-29 | Won |
| 921 | 1046 | 33% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1140 | 31% | 2005-11-11 | Won |
| 1215 | 1260 | 44% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1121.9 has a 36.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).