The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (15 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 34
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2025-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2024-01-04 | | Lost |
| 950 | 999 | 43% | 2023-08-04 | | Won |
| 1078 | 992 | 62% | 2015-06-19 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-02-02 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1100 | 59% | 2007-01-26 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1074 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1435 | 14% | 2006-10-04 | | Won |
| 1209 | 1037 | 73% | 2005-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2005-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2005-11-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2005-10-09 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2005-07-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1085 has a 41.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).