Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (22 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Free French): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2025-09-25 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1019 | 48% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 989 | 1191 | 24% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 1122 | 33% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1131 | 30% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 1113 | 40% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1017 | 76% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1058 | 30% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 999 | 48% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 884 | 987 | 36% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1264 | 1174 | 63% | 2015-03-21 | Won |
| 1129 | 1040 | 63% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1160 | 53% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1343 | 25% | 2006-06-23 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1023 | 63% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1083.1 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).