Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Free French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2025-09-25 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 2025-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2023-01-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2022-03-19 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1099 | 39% | 2020-10-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2020-10-26 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2019-06-14 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1055 | 43% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-04-01 | | Lost |
| 966 | 987 | 47% | 2016-04-01 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2015-03-21 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1080 | 58% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2010-02-01 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1055 | 55% | 2009-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1100 | 39% | 2007-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1344 | 12% | 2006-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2005-08-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1070 has a 48.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).