Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (19 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1036 | 41% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1268 | 35% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 990 | 1152 | 28% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1158 | 34% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1268 | 1143 | 67% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1118 | 1080 | 55% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 985 | 1052 | 40% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 910 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 999 | 58% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 946 | 57% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1109 | 1118 | 49% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 1052 | 52% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1115 | 50% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1064 | 57% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1090.6 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).