Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (18 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1164 | 43% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
| 1133 | 1179 | 43% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1040 | 37% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1188 | 40% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1164 | 1188 | 47% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1082 | 44% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1214 | 995 | 78% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 1092 | 1087 | 51% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 911 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 911 | 1110 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 955 | 961 | 49% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 1037 | 60% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1087 | 47% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1129 | 48% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1026 | 62% | 2005-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1084.6 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).