Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (17 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Free French): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
951 | 1180 | 21% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
1171 | 1056 | 66% | 2020-11-19 | Lost |
1204 | 1155 | 57% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
1044 | 1155 | 35% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
1108 | 1084 | 53% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
1285 | 1016 | 82% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
1091 | 1087 | 51% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
970 | 1110 | 31% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
970 | 1110 | 31% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
990 | 949 | 56% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1115 | 1108 | 51% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2010-02-01 | Won |
1067 | 1087 | 47% | 2009-09-19 | Lost |
1165 | 1133 | 55% | 2007-05-10 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1093.1 has a 47.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).