Closing the Back Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (4 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1281 | 17% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1005 | 53% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2006-10-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1021 | 61% | 2004-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1097.3 has a 43.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).