Closing the Back Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (3 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
968 | 1317 | 12% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
979 | 992 | 48% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
1097 | 1019 | 61% | 2004-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1109.3 has a 36.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).