Holding the Hotton Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 920 | 1148 | 21% | 2022-03-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 841 | 77% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 989 | 985 | 51% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 959 | 57% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1055 | 938 | 66% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 937 | 987 | 43% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1214 | 981 | 79% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1042 | 1044 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1033 | 49% | 2009-11-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 1145 | 45% | 2008-12-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1145 | 34% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
| 907 | 976 | 40% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1058 | 46% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 907 | 1129 | 22% | 2004-11-24 | Won |
| 1107 | 907 | 76% | 2004-02-24 | Won |
| 844 | 1041 | 24% | 2003-12-24 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1004 | 55% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Lost |
| 993 | 1120 | 32% | | Lost |
| 993 | 1120 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1015.4 vs 1047.7 has a 45.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).