Loonies and Leicesters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (13 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/Canadian): 31
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 976 | 55% | 2010-04-25 | Won |
| 1034 | 1106 | 40% | 2009-01-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1122 | 43% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1117 | 51% | 2007-05-11 | Won |
| 1076 | 917 | 71% | 2006-07-29 | Won |
| 940 | 1095 | 29% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 1143 | 821 | 86% | 2005-11-15 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2005-11-14 | Lost |
| 980 | 992 | 48% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
| 980 | 1122 | 31% | 2005-07-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 1097 | 33% | 2004-11-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1046.1 has a 47.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).