Loonies and Leicesters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (13 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/Canadian): 31
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1316 | 1252 | 59% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 913 | 1059 | 30% | 2015-05-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1068 | 57% | 2010-04-25 | Won |
| 1056 | 1159 | 36% | 2009-01-21 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1228 | 29% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-05-11 | Won |
| 1076 | 917 | 71% | 2006-07-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1171 | 25% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2005-11-15 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2005-11-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1248 | 27% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1051 | 53% | 2005-07-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1097 | 46% | 2004-11-26 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1089.4 vs 1087.5 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).