The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (20 on the archive and 112 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 71
Defender wins (Canadian): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1044 | 1019 | 54% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
988 | 1142 | 29% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
924 | 962 | 45% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
1058 | 994 | 59% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
929 | 1119 | 25% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
1160 | 804 | 89% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
1006 | 987 | 53% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
1057 | 1307 | 19% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
1098 | 1360 | 18% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
1095 | 964 | 68% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
1093 | 1062 | 54% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
970 | 1197 | 21% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
1197 | 1041 | 71% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
965 | 1030 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
959 | 994 | 45% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
1142 | 958 | 74% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
1030 | 1073 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
925 | 1091 | 28% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1058.8 has a 48.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).