The Badger's Breath
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (26 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 78
Defender wins (Canadian): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1035 | 41% | 2024-04-26 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1115 | 33% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 946 | 963 | 48% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 1064 | 42% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 747 | 94% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1008 | 927 | 61% | 2012-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1329 | 17% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1413 | 14% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 998 | 71% | 2010-09-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 978 | 74% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1044 | 45% | 2009-02-16 | Lost |
| 910 | 1146 | 20% | 2008-08-01 | Won |
| 1146 | 1041 | 65% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1034 | 41% | 2007-06-26 | Lost |
| 959 | 941 | 53% | 2007-03-09 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1075 | 44% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1115 | 982 | 68% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1233 | 1050 | 74% | 2007-01-27 | Won |
| 1277 | 1034 | 80% | 2007-01-23 | Won |
| 1177 | 1119 | 58% | 2006-06-23 | Won |
| 1208 | 1064 | 70% | 2005-12-04 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2005-11-01 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1069 | 66% | 2005-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1054.5 has a 50.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).