Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (7 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 35
Defender wins (German (SS)): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1044 | 64% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1007 | 63% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 1101 | 43% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1206 | 42% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1083.1 has a 50.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).