Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (British): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2023-03-05 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1010 | 60% | 2021-03-23 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1101 | 42% | 2019-06-23 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1143 | 38% | 2019-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2018-11-27 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2017-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1066.6 vs 1052.3 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).