Making a Break for It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (7 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 37
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 991 | 68% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 1084 | 1007 | 61% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 1072 | 1100 | 46% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 1138 | 35% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2018-11-27 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2017-01-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1210 | 40% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1078.6 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).