Lenin's Sons
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 410 (91 on the archive and 319 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 203
Defender wins (Russian): 204
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2026-01-19 | Won |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2025-10-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1041 | 47% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2025-03-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2024-10-02 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1059 | 1252 | 25% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 972 | 1001 | 46% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 1030 | 43% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1007 | 47% | 2023-11-16 | Lost |
| 963 | 874 | 63% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 999 | 969 | 54% | 2023-09-05 | Won |
| 1056 | 970 | 62% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1081 | 63% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 983 | 49% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 869 | 66% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-04-30 | Won |
| 1117 | 1127 | 49% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 1045 | 64% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 980 | 1040 | 41% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 949 | 983 | 45% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1057 | 1217 | 28% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 981 | 965 | 52% | 2021-07-28 | Lost |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 1063 | 934 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 947 | 987 | 44% | 2020-12-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 967 | 60% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1089 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 989 | 965 | 53% | 2020-01-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1217 | 36% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1049 | 37% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 620 | 879 | 18% | 2019-07-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 915 | 68% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1024 | 1009 | 52% | 2018-05-20 | Won |
| 1123 | 959 | 72% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1081 | 982 | 64% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 1216 | 22% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1057 | 42% | 2017-07-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 1252 | 34% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 951 | 62% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
| 1147 | 999 | 70% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1044 | 47% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1140 | 63% | 2016-01-14 | Lost |
| 965 | 980 | 48% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1068 | 55% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1036 | 48% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1060 | 72% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1143 | 38% | 2014-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2013-07-25 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 746 | 694 | 57% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1081 | 921 | 72% | 2012-05-14 | Won |
| 1075 | 694 | 90% | 2011-10-15 | Lost |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 993 | 1075 | 38% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2011-04-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 969 | 967 | 50% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 980 | 1098 | 34% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1123 | 1203 | 39% | 2009-12-11 | Won |
| 1007 | 822 | 74% | 2009-07-16 | Lost |
| 1024 | 999 | 54% | 2009-03-20 | Won |
| 1283 | 1040 | 80% | 2008-07-06 | Won |
| 979 | 1252 | 17% | 2008-06-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 974 | 63% | 2008-04-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1026 | 1260 | 21% | 2007-04-28 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1342 | 17% | 2007-04-15 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1105 | 43% | 2007-03-08 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 957 | 57% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 1188 | 1260 | 40% | 2006-10-28 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1036 | 57% | 2006-10-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-09-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1041 | 38% | 2006-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (42 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 1046.3 has a 50.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).