Lenin's Sons
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2025-10-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1046 | 46% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 990 | 1019 | 46% | 2025-03-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 915 | 1148 | 21% | 2024-10-02 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1039 | 72% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1058 | 1340 | 16% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 984 | 1023 | 44% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 979 | 1031 | 43% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 1068 | 38% | 2023-11-16 | Lost |
| 972 | 875 | 64% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1017 | 969 | 57% | 2023-09-05 | Won |
| 1056 | 970 | 62% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1079 | 68% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 1013 | 45% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 881 | 68% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2023-04-30 | Won |
| 1171 | 1127 | 56% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1138 | 1010 | 68% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 998 | 1059 | 41% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 954 | 983 | 46% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1023 | 1217 | 25% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 981 | 980 | 50% | 2021-07-28 | Lost |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 1013 | 932 | 61% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 946 | 987 | 44% | 2020-12-10 | Lost |
| 944 | 958 | 48% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 967 | 60% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2020-01-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1217 | 36% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1040 | 38% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 621 | 879 | 18% | 2019-07-04 | Won |
| 1040 | 915 | 67% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 997 | 1040 | 44% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 1009 | 53% | 2018-05-20 | Won |
| 1122 | 958 | 72% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1110 | 983 | 68% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 1216 | 22% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1095 | 1174 | 39% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 1042 | 944 | 64% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 944 | 1058 | 34% | 2017-07-08 | Won |
| 1130 | 1340 | 23% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 951 | 62% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
| 1126 | 999 | 68% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 979 | 1044 | 41% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1151 | 59% | 2016-01-14 | Lost |
| 980 | 979 | 50% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1068 | 55% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1035 | 48% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1071 | 70% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1145 | 37% | 2014-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 1046 | 40% | 2013-07-25 | Won |
| 1113 | 979 | 68% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 745 | 693 | 57% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1079 | 920 | 71% | 2012-05-14 | Won |
| 1073 | 693 | 90% | 2011-10-15 | Lost |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 994 | 1073 | 39% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1021 | 1029 | 49% | 2011-04-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 969 | 968 | 50% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 1078 | 36% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1122 | 1202 | 39% | 2009-12-11 | Won |
| 1023 | 823 | 76% | 2009-07-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 999 | 54% | 2009-03-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1340 | 11% | 2008-06-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 974 | 63% | 2008-04-26 | Lost |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1026 | 1206 | 26% | 2007-04-28 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1342 | 15% | 2007-04-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1084 | 46% | 2007-03-08 | Won |
| 1079 | 1203 | 33% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-27 | Lost |
| 1023 | 956 | 60% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 1188 | 1206 | 47% | 2006-10-28 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1035 | 57% | 2006-10-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-09-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 952 | 1042 | 37% | 2006-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (40 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1048.9 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).