Tale of the Comet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (8 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 28
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1013 | 43% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1144 | 1226 | 38% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1059 | 63% | 2024-09-14 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1035 | 54% | 2010-08-10 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2007-07-06 | Won |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2007-06-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 1058 | 72% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1097.6 has a 42.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).