Tale of the Comet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (8 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1144 | 1172 | 46% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1060 | 61% | 2024-09-14 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1035 | 54% | 2010-08-10 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2007-07-06 | Won |
| 1061 | 1172 | 35% | 2007-06-27 | Won |
| 1172 | 1072 | 64% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.4 vs 1095.5 has a 42.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).