Tale of the Comet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (7 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1148 | 1158 | 49% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1045 | 65% | 2024-09-14 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2024-08-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1034 | 55% | 2010-08-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2007-06-27 | Won |
| 1158 | 1087 | 60% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1092 has a 40.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).