Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (18 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 965 | 57% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1075 | 1243 | 28% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 907 | 1040 | 32% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1137 | 49% | 2023-02-19 | Lost |
| 877 | 1198 | 14% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 907 | 79% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1091 | 976 | 66% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
| 1091 | 1133 | 44% | 2014-05-27 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1114 | 57% | 2013-04-11 | Lost |
| 903 | 1026 | 33% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2008-08-07 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1100 | 37% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-01-15 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1333 | 25% | 2007-03-02 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1416 | 38% | 2007-02-01 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1058 | 56% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1102.2 has a 45.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).