Broken Beek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1065 | 59% | 2023-06-09 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1253 | 40% | 2023-03-05 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1095 | 31% | 2023-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-02-19 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1134 | 21% | 2020-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 960 | 73% | 2014-06-27 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-06-27 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2014-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2013-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1055 | 84% | 2010-11-12 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1078 | 27% | 2009-04-04 | | Won |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2008-10-26 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2008-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2007-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2007-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1091.3 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).