Last Ally, Last Victory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (36 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 1006 | 31% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 865 | 1266 | 9% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 856 | 880 | 47% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
| 963 | 1010 | 43% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
| 1130 | 993 | 69% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 960 | 1010 | 43% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1203 | 25% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1150 | 53% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2020-06-01 | Won |
| 1173 | 931 | 80% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
| 1214 | 865 | 88% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 1059 | 38% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
| 1005 | 865 | 69% | 2017-12-29 | Won |
| 977 | 908 | 60% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 865 | 1021 | 29% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 865 | 73% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 865 | 73% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
| 927 | 884 | 56% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 877 | 865 | 52% | 2016-09-15 | Lost |
| 865 | 877 | 48% | 2016-08-18 | Tied |
| 1216 | 1201 | 52% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1011 | 46% | 2012-05-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 884 | 87% | 2012-03-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 865 | 66% | 2012-01-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 983 | 72% | 2011-07-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2009-03-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 918 | 58% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1018.6 vs 995.1 has a 53.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).