Last Ally, Last Victory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (34 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
865 | 876 | 48% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-06-15 | Won |
943 | 939 | 51% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
1083 | 1032 | 57% | 2022-09-01 | Lost |
1164 | 1007 | 71% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
960 | 939 | 53% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-24 | Lost |
939 | 1188 | 19% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
1194 | 1157 | 55% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
1144 | 1173 | 46% | 2020-06-01 | Won |
1159 | 1210 | 43% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
901 | 892 | 51% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
1152 | 968 | 74% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
972 | 998 | 46% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
1005 | 968 | 55% | 2017-12-29 | Won |
978 | 1029 | 43% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
968 | 1021 | 42% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
1046 | 968 | 61% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
1046 | 968 | 61% | 2017-02-14 | Lost |
1013 | 895 | 66% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
881 | 968 | 38% | 2016-09-15 | Lost |
968 | 881 | 62% | 2016-08-18 | Tied |
1216 | 1201 | 52% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
990 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-05-02 | Won |
1216 | 895 | 86% | 2012-03-21 | Lost |
981 | 968 | 52% | 2012-01-16 | Lost |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2011-07-10 | Won |
1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2009-03-19 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2009-01-18 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-08 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-09 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1028.6 vs 1014.4 has a 52.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).