Keitel and Cox
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (22 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (German (SS)): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1126 | 48% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1144 | 46% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
| 1195 | 865 | 87% | 2020-12-10 | Lost |
| 1163 | 992 | 73% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1036 | 865 | 73% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 845 | 974 | 32% | 2020-01-08 | Lost |
| 974 | 845 | 68% | 2020-01-08 | Tied |
| 1079 | 840 | 80% | 2019-10-16 | Won |
| 1029 | 945 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 938 | 1203 | 18% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 945 | 1037 | 37% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 870 | 950 | 39% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1108 | 59% | 2008-02-22 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1033 | 47% | 2008-02-09 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-12-28 | Lost |
| 1149 | 865 | 84% | 2007-10-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1015.2 has a 55.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).