Keitel and Cox
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-01-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1143 | 31% | 2021-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 992 | 73% | 2020-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-03-24 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-20 | | Won |
| 861 | 1014 | 29% | 2020-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 861 | 71% | 2020-01-08 | | Tied |
| 1062 | 839 | 78% | 2019-10-16 | | Won |
| 1031 | 945 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | | Won |
| 939 | 1284 | 12% | 2017-05-15 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2015-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-05-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-03-08 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1000 | 32% | 2011-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2008-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1141 | 34% | 2008-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1054 | 62% | 2008-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2007-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1029.1 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).