Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (8 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 998 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1071 | 1097 | 46% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1083 | 54% | 2010-07-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1138 | 32% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
| 1063 | 986 | 61% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 947 | 1109 | 28% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1091 | 45% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1076.9 has a 45.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).