Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (British): 8
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-07-11 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-01-26 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2019-02-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2011-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2010-07-20 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1167 | 28% | 2009-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-11-06 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2008-11-01 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2008-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2007-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2007-11-13 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1025 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).