Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (33 on the archive and 131 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 81
Defender wins (Russian): 83
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1067 | 47% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1196 | 954 | 80% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1158 | 20% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 981 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1149 | 53% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1149 | 53% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1101 | 41% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1109 | 50% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 985 | 55% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1079 | 984 | 63% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1296 | 14% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1198 | 35% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 1079 | 950 | 68% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 1047 | 73% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1113 | 48% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
| 1112 | 1067 | 56% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1036 | 1149 | 34% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1120 | 65% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1128 | 35% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1079 | 39% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1197 | 965 | 79% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1400 | 9% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1197 | 982 | 78% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 888 | 957 | 40% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1296 | 977 | 86% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1285 | 1296 | 48% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 984 | 66% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1098 | 49% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1197 | 41% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1087.7 vs 1081.6 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).