Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 167 (35 on the archive and 132 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 83
Defender wins (Russian): 84
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2025-01-11 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1068 | 54% | 2024-09-01 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1010 | 71% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1150 | 53% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1150 | 53% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1002 | 58% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 980 | 58% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1176 | 42% | 2020-02-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 1101 | 42% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 1193 | 39% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1019 | 1062 | 44% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1065 | 51% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 968 | 1313 | 12% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1146 | 42% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 951 | 67% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
| 1223 | 1047 | 73% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 1099 | 1106 | 49% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 1066 | 62% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 984 | 55% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 1147 | 36% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1111 | 67% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1061 | 52% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 968 | 78% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1413 | 8% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
| 889 | 916 | 46% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 1313 | 968 | 88% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1285 | 1313 | 46% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 968 | 68% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
| 1163 | 1189 | 46% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
| 988 | 1151 | 28% | 2007-09-30 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1093 vs 1088.5 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).