Elephants Unleashed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (31 on the archive and 128 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 80
Defender wins (Russian): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1149 | 929 | 78% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2021-07-08 | Lost |
1029 | 980 | 57% | 2021-05-01 | Lost |
1183 | 1157 | 54% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
1183 | 1157 | 54% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
1041 | 1204 | 28% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
1063 | 1103 | 44% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
1022 | 1109 | 38% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
998 | 992 | 51% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
1087 | 987 | 64% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
977 | 1307 | 13% | 2014-05-24 | Lost |
1089 | 1176 | 38% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
1087 | 949 | 69% | 2014-01-17 | Won |
1225 | 1047 | 74% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
1105 | 1073 | 55% | 2012-08-12 | Won |
1058 | 1068 | 49% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
1019 | 985 | 55% | 2010-06-27 | Won |
1063 | 1149 | 38% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
1227 | 1142 | 62% | 2010-03-06 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
925 | 961 | 45% | 2009-09-23 | Lost |
993 | 1360 | 11% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
864 | 994 | 32% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
1307 | 977 | 87% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2008-07-10 | Won |
1097 | 958 | 69% | 2008-04-04 | Lost |
1096 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-03-08 | Won |
1058 | 925 | 68% | 2007-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1072.4 vs 1076.4 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).