Siberian Shockwave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (7 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2026-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2012-09-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-16 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2010-04-15 | | Won |
| 979 | 1242 | 18% | 2010-04-15 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1015 | 38% | 2010-03-12 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 992.7 vs 1065.1 has a 39.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).