Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (20 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 52
Defender wins (British): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1222 | 39% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1081 | 923 | 71% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 959 | 964 | 49% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1094 | 983 | 65% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1150 | 983 | 72% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1072 | 54% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 888 | 1200 | 14% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1083 | 73% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1157 | 39% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1094 | 1078 | 52% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1101 | 61% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1159 | 1234 | 39% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1072 | 43% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1248 | 27% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1088.8 has a 45.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).