Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (22 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (British): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-11-06 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2025-03-09 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2025-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 964 | 57% | 2024-11-15 | | Won |
| 1167 | 976 | 75% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1195 | 976 | 78% | 2021-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1020 | 61% | 2021-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-01-27 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1196 | 15% | 2018-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-05-20 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1004 | 55% | 2015-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1120 | 51% | 2013-09-03 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1078 | 63% | 2010-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-04-10 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2010-04-10 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2009-09-11 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2009-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-03-29 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2009-01-15 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1047.3 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).