Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (22 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (British): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1115 | 40% | 2025-11-06 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-03-09 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-02-21 | | Lost |
| 960 | 964 | 49% | 2024-11-15 | | Won |
| 1183 | 949 | 79% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1177 | 949 | 79% | 2021-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1064 | 55% | 2021-11-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2021-01-27 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1230 | 13% | 2018-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1000 | 84% | 2017-05-20 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1003 | 58% | 2015-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2013-09-03 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1078 | 65% | 2010-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-04-10 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2010-04-10 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2010-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-09-11 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2009-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-03-29 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2009-01-15 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1045.5 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).