Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (22 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (British): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 941 | 69% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 967 | 994 | 46% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1223 | 37% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 922 | 71% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1015 | 964 | 57% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 999 | 62% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1188 | 999 | 75% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1052 | 57% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 930 | 1131 | 24% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 1208 | 15% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1220 | 955 | 82% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1026 | 1004 | 53% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1159 | 45% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1085 | 1078 | 51% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1101 | 60% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1343 | 613 | 99% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1159 | 1234 | 39% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 974 | 1024 | 43% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1062 | 1182 | 33% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1044.1 has a 53.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).