Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (19 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (British): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1093 | 54% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1224 | 37% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 922 | 69% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 907 | 964 | 42% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 1043 | 55% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1130 | 1043 | 62% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1092 | 51% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 802 | 1131 | 13% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 898 | 1142 | 20% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1009 | 81% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1151 | 1114 | 55% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1075 | 1078 | 50% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1100 | 55% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1127 | 1233 | 35% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1163 | 34% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.7 vs 1089.8 has a 43.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).