Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (15 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (British): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 964 | 49% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1021 | 890 | 68% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1144 | 890 | 81% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1062 | 55% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1182 | 27% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 926 | 1190 | 18% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1060 | 69% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 1126 | 52% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 1078 | 42% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1098 | 66% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1128 | 1227 | 36% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1105 | 45% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1206 | 22% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1112 | 980 | 68% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.3 vs 1072.5 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).