Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (17 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (British): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1207 | 1223 | 48% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1019 | 51% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 945 | 964 | 47% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 927 | 62% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1137 | 927 | 77% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1017 | 73% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1137 | 1151 | 48% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 1077 | 40% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1098 | 59% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 1225 | 37% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1107 | 43% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1084.5 has a 47.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).