Federov's Incursion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1053 | 69% | 2026-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2026-05-07 | | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-12-18 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2009-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2008-12-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1068.4 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).