A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (29 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Polish): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1077 | 51% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 827 | 1086 | 18% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1307 | 973 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 1253 | 25% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1153 | 38% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 1217 | 18% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1204 | 53% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
| 1027 | 1217 | 25% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1114 | 985 | 68% | 2016-01-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1086 | 39% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1071 | 62% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 981 | 1101 | 33% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 958 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1192 | 1096 | 63% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1186 | 31% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
| 1041 | 1052 | 48% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1012 | 49% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
| 1068 | 1097 | 46% | 2009-01-24 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
| 1027 | 969 | 58% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
| 1140 | 1063 | 61% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1099.6 has a 45.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).