A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (29 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Polish): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1087 | 43% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 820 | 1094 | 17% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1306 | 973 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1064 | 1234 | 27% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1154 | 37% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 949 | 1218 | 18% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1189 | 55% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
| 1003 | 1218 | 22% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 998 | 66% | 2016-01-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1094 | 38% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 958 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1192 | 1121 | 60% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1060 | 60% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1208 | 29% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
| 994 | 1087 | 37% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1012 | 49% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1097 | 45% | 2009-01-24 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
| 1003 | 968 | 55% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 1063 | 61% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1098.5 has a 44.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).