Diversionary Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2025-08-23 | Won |
| 970 | 1029 | 42% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 999 | 951 | 57% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 1115 | 1126 | 48% | 2014-01-04 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2013-10-27 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1039 | 69% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2011-10-09 | Won |
| 1162 | 1050 | 66% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1003.8 has a 60.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).