The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 287 (70 on the archive and 217 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 119
Defender wins (Russian): 168
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
| 954 | 932 | 53% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 932 | 848 | 62% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1062 | 50% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 1145 | 30% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1055 | 53% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1091 | 53% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 932 | 1113 | 26% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1205 | 932 | 83% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
| 977 | 1054 | 39% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1106 | 1031 | 61% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1071 | 987 | 62% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 1094 | 909 | 74% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 926 | 969 | 44% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 1094 | 30% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 909 | 65% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 932 | 1242 | 14% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
| 1242 | 932 | 86% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1077 | 48% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1182 | 1090 | 63% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1049 | 43% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1080 | 1223 | 31% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1059 | 39% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1060 | 47% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 866 | 1059 | 25% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 944 | 57% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1022 | 54% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
| 1205 | 932 | 83% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 932 | 1205 | 17% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1024 | 55% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1011 | 1055 | 44% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1017 | 1031 | 48% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1181 | 1051 | 68% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
| 1001 | 993 | 51% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 976 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 987 | 884 | 64% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1070 | 52% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1099 | 48% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1018 | 49% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1154 | 27% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 968 | 60% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1096 | 43% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
| 1181 | 1049 | 68% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
| 944 | 1248 | 15% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 939 | 71% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 1103 | 1031 | 60% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
| 1285 | 1311 | 46% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 960 | 1056 | 37% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1014 | 58% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1072 | 42% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1084 | 46% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2009-03-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 1181 | 24% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 1119 | 1138 | 47% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1031 vs 1045.4 has a 47.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).