The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 309 (79 on the archive and 230 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 130
Defender wins (Russian): 179
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 841 | 1072 | 21% | 2026-04-16 | Lost | |
| 1072 | 841 | 79% | 2026-03-27 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2026-03-17 | Won | |
| 984 | 1123 | 31% | 2024-03-18 | Lost | |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost | |
| 1038 | 944 | 63% | 2022-04-05 | Won | |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2022-02-06 | Lost | |
| 1037 | 1078 | 44% | 2021-08-20 | Lost | |
| 1035 | 1160 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2020-10-08 | Lost | |
| 1085 | 1105 | 47% | 2020-07-07 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-03-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-03-20 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-02-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2020-02-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2019-10-09 | Won | |
| 991 | 1218 | 21% | 2019-10-09 | Lost | |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-01-19 | Lost | |
| 1119 | 966 | 71% | 2018-01-12 | Won | |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-01-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2017-11-26 | Won | |
| 1015 | 966 | 57% | 2017-06-24 | Lost | |
| 1041 | 1056 | 48% | 2017-06-24 | Won | |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2017-01-20 | Won | |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2016-10-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1222 | 22% | 2016-07-15 | Lost | |
| 1222 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-01-01 | Lost | |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost | |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost | |
| 1063 | 1044 | 53% | 2015-08-01 | Won | |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2015-05-24 | Lost | |
| 1007 | 1057 | 43% | 2015-04-18 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-12-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2014-02-26 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2013-08-24 | Lost | |
| 886 | 984 | 36% | 2013-06-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2013-01-12 | Lost | |
| 1020 | 1149 | 32% | 2013-01-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2012-10-30 | Won | |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-08-15 | Lost | |
| 1141 | 1088 | 58% | 2012-04-14 | Won | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-06-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2011-03-12 | Lost | |
| 1056 | 1013 | 56% | 2011-01-23 | Won | |
| 974 | 962 | 52% | 2011-01-17 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2010-10-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2010-10-06 | Won | |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2010-02-14 | Lost | |
| 1008 | 993 | 52% | 2009-11-30 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 975 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won | |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2009-10-22 | Lost | |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2009-10-05 | Lost | |
| 1055 | 1119 | 41% | 2009-09-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2009-09-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2009-09-11 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1019 | 49% | 2009-07-05 | Lost | |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2009-06-24 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2009-06-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2009-06-19 | Lost | |
| 1052 | 1031 | 53% | 2009-05-30 | Won | |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-05-20 | Won | |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2009-05-14 | Won | |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2009-04-25 | Lost | |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2009-04-16 | Lost | |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-04-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2009-04-03 | Won | |
| 1101 | 939 | 72% | 2009-04-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 922 | 61% | 2009-04-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2009-03-31 | Lost | |
| 961 | 1167 | 23% | 2009-03-17 | Lost | |
| 1096 | 1022 | 60% | 2009-03-17 | Lost | |
| 1022 | 1096 | 40% | 2009-03-10 | Lost | |
| 1167 | 1127 | 56% | 2009-03-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2009-03-02 | Lost | |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2009-02-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2009-02-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2009-02-20 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 1214 | 26% | 2009-02-14 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1044.4 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).