The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 297 (75 on the archive and 222 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 155
Defender wins (Russian): 142
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1074 | 50% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1163 | 37% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1091 | 52% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 891 | 1006 | 34% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1173 | 26% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1037 | 42% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1116 | 1099 | 52% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 992 | 1217 | 21% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1023 | 987 | 55% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 1134 | 985 | 70% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 942 | 968 | 46% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 1108 | 28% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 985 | 54% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1065 | 47% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1045 | 1099 | 42% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1139 | 851 | 84% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 991 | 1216 | 21% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 991 | 79% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 853 | 987 | 32% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1072 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1176 | 1092 | 62% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1043 | 44% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 1226 | 30% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 984 | 950 | 55% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 910 | 950 | 44% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1017 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 991 | 1075 | 38% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 1050 | 1098 | 43% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1057 | 62% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1134 | 991 | 69% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1006 | 58% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2011-01-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1053 | 45% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1099 | 48% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1235 | 1061 | 73% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
| 1007 | 992 | 52% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 976 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 986 | 897 | 63% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1223 | 59% | 2009-10-05 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1050 | 49% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1140 | 56% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1019 | 49% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 950 | 55% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1027 | 968 | 58% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1098 | 41% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1068 | 49% | 2009-05-30 | Won |
| 963 | 988 | 46% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
| 1235 | 1184 | 57% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
| 1075 | 1250 | 27% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1099 | 51% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 939 | 72% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
| 1287 | 1252 | 55% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 961 | 1094 | 32% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1031 | 59% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1096 | 41% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1111 | 48% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1073 | 45% | 2009-03-02 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1235 | 28% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 1159 | 45% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1055.4 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).