Going Against the Grain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (10 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (British): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1110 | 31% | 2026-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1029 | 60% | 2023-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1029 | 73% | 2022-12-22 | | Won |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-07-24 | | Tied |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2019-07-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 944 | 76% | 2018-10-07 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2017-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2011-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2011-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2011-08-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1078.9 vs 1031.4 has a 56.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).